Fitch: The progress of inflation decline seems to have ended. Brian Coulton, chief economist of Fitch, said that the decline of core commodity prices (the main force of inflation decline this year) seems to have ended. With the increase of automobile prices, the core commodity prices rose by 0.3% month-on-month. Service inflation is declining, but the rate of decline is very slow, because rent inflation is stubborn, and the service inflation is 4.6%, which is still far higher than the pre-epidemic level.According to the news of China Securities Industry Association on December 11th, on December 5th, the meeting of directors and all members of regional equity market professional committee of China Securities Association was held in Chongqing. The meeting studied and implemented the spirit of the Third Plenary Session of the 20th CPC Central Committee and the new "National Nine Articles" in the capital market, and studied and discussed the key work of the Committee. The main person in charge of the China Securities Association, the relevant persons in charge of the Second Market Division of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, Chongqing Local Financial Administration and Chongqing Securities Regulatory Bureau attended the meeting, and more than 60 staff members of CSI Technology, Chongqing Securities and Futures Association and Securities Industry Association and Committee members attended the meeting.Vanguard went against tradition and suggested the strategy of "six shares of debt and four shares" to deal with policy risks. In view of the high interest rate and stock valuation, Vanguard Group suggested that investors establish defensive positions in the new year and increase their investment in bonds instead of stocks. The company's 2025 outlook lists the asset allocation model built by economists and portfolio teams, which allocates 62% of the funds to fixed-income securities and the remaining 38% to stocks. In contrast, the ratio of stocks to bonds in the traditional portfolio is 60% to 40%. Although the US economy is still strong, the stock market valuation is close to historical highs, which makes stocks more vulnerable to potential policy risks after Trump takes office. At the same time, interest rates may remain higher than those in the 2010 s, thus providing investors with stable income and more protection in the case of risk aversion.
The price of natural gas futures in the United States continued to rise, with an increase of 5%.Market analysis: The US CPI report is in line with expectations, and the stock market will breathe a sigh of relief. Wasif Latif, chief investment officer of Sarmaya Partners, said that according to the latest US CPI report, the market will not be further impacted. Everything is in line with expectations, and the stock market seems to breathe a sigh of relief, because this is another steady report with no surprises. The stock market seems to be ready for higher-than-expected data, but since there is no accident, the market is relieved. Although the short-term bond market has some reaction, the long-term bond market has no reaction.The price of natural gas futures in the United States continued to rise, with an increase of 5%.
Bank of Canada: The sharp interest rate cut is aimed at supporting economic growth and keeping CPI at a level close to 2%.Bank of Canada Governor Mackler M: Monetary policy no longer needs to remain tight. The job market is still weakening. Officials will adopt a more "gradual" interest rate policy.Futures closed at night, domestic main futures contracts rose more and fell less, futures closed at night, domestic main futures contracts rose more and fell less, coke rose 0.77%, coking coal rose 0.43%, iron ore rose 0.25%, rebar rose 0.18% and coil fell 0.03%.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14